Over the course of my thirty-plus years writing about IT I have been bombarded by pundits’ predictions of what’s coming next, and even –- abject apologies to IBM, AT&T, and Apple –- made my own share of fearless forecasts. While the following 13 items represent only a small fraction of the predictions that passed through my email filters and browsers, they are the ones that most struck my fancy. Enjoy, and all the best for 2013!
“WAN optimization and faster links into the data center have created feasible and affordable disaster recovery methodologies for more organizations. […] Using WAN optimization and calculate bandwidth utilization, users can continue to work even though their primary data center is down.”
“Expect to see the move towards a software-defined datacenter accelerate in 2013. Networking and infrastructure security represent some of the stickiest issues when it comes to the drive to a more agile data center. And because of this strong customer interest in SDDCs, you’ll also see more networking vendors and startups modify their roadmaps to steer towards a software-defined networking strategy.”
Allwyn Sequeira, Vmware
25% of data centers will explore virtualization for 2013, and 25% will consolidate and rationalize their hardware environment.
“Network virtualization will be the next big thing. Software-defined networking (SDN) is being deployed by some large users (just ask Google), the OpenFlow 1.3 standard has been released, and overlay networks like DOVE are moving forward in the standards bodies.”
Casimer DeCusatis, IBM
“As we move into 2013 and beyond, enterprise IT will need to consider the network that connects the data centers — particularly how these inter-data center networks need to change to support new cloud use cases and associated network requirements for bandwidth scalability, low latency, security, virtualization and automation.”
Cloud Computing Journal
“Wireless LANs will not just enable access to but optimize and even provision applications.”
“2013 will see sustainability become more focused on cost saving, and will lead to more efficient internal IT delivery methods such as virtualization, SDNs and the use of converged infrastructure solutions.”
Roy Illsley, Ovum Research
“Expect software-defined networking, the ability to define paths through the network dynamically, to extend the automation efforts already in place with additional capabilities to optimize traffic based on application policy and network utilization. In the campus, this is the end goal of data center-to-user networking.”
Mike Fratto, Current Analysis
There is “an unstoppable move” to the cloud to host production workloads as well as to outsource services, with financial services and healthcare leading the trend.
Kelly Morgan, 451 Research
“In 2013, 33% of all new applications will target a mobile form factor. […][T]he increased a number of mobile applications, the need to integrate them with enterprise systems, and the requirement for multi-platform development will drive the creation of many new mobile apps by IT services providers in 2013.”
Big becomes bigger. Big data – spanning four dimensions: volume, velocity, variety, and veracity – is now less of a mystery and more of a staple in the everyday data center, and solving complicated big data problems will happen much more frequently in 2013.
Gary Orenstein, Fusion-io
“Enterprises with different offices in multiple cities will run the same cloud services out of each office and have the cloud services talk to each other to ensure synchronization — improving overall efficiency.”
Steve Wozniak, Apple cofounder, Fusion-io Chief Scientist
“In 2013, cloud delivery of video will enable a cost paradigm shift leading to acceleration of adoption of pervasive, any-to-any video conferencing. […] Historically three key factors prevented widespread adoption of video: high infrastructure and endpoint costs, consistent quality of experience and lack of interoperability between systems. In 2013 we will see advances across all three of these challenges, particularly in software capabilities that will dramatically lower infrastructure and endpoint costs. Deploying these advancements in the cloud will allow us to make any-to-any video connections between mobile, personal and room-based systems while optimally allocating resources depending on the endpoint, resulting in significantly lower costs and higher quality. This will enable businesses of all sizes to take advantage of the power of video collaboration.”
Eric Schoch, Cisco